Watchlist Evolution
🧲 Discovery Radar
PROMOTE / MONITOR / IGNORE candidates before they graduate into daily predictions.
TSM is core. AVGO, ASML, MU, ARM, AMAT, LRCX are radar candidates until promoted. Morning briefings emit PROMOTE / MONITOR / IGNORE calls into the watchlist lane; promoted tickers graduate to the core prediction ledger.
Candidates
103
historical radar rows
Unique Tickers
25
AMAT, ARM, ASML, AVGO, BE, CMCSA…
Promotion Rule
Quality + Catalyst
liquid, gradeable, not duplicate noise
Candidate History
| Date | Ticker | Recommendation | Reason | Catalyst | Quality / Liquidity | Watchlist Action | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | AVGO | MONITOR | AI-networking/custom-silicon leader riding same hyperscaler capex wave. | AI-capex cycle; already in discovery | High quality, liquid options; no fresh idiosyncratic catalyst today | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-07-31 | SKHY | IGNORE | Pure momentum sympathy beta, no durable single-name thesis for daily grading. | Memory-rally sympathy | Thin/noisy; not suitable for daily grading | Do not promote | ignored |
| 2026-07-31 | INTC | MONITOR | +11% premarket but sympathy/turnaround move, not a durable thesis. | Semi-sector rally / memory sympathy | Liquid but lower business quality; momentum-driven | Keep in radar, do not promote | radar |
| 2026-07-31 | MU | PROMOTE | Leading the entire semi tape (+18% premarket); direct beneficiary of MSFT/AMZN capex raises for AI memory demand. | AI-memory super-cycle; hyperscaler capex hikes + Korea (Samsung/SK Hynix) rebound | Liquid, tight-spread options; durable memory-cycle bellwether distinct from logic (NVDA) and foundry (TSM) | Add MU to symbols.equities | promoted |
| 2026-07-30 | MU | MONITOR | Dragged into chip selloff alongside NVDA/AMD/SNDK after SK Hynix record results failed to impress markets; memory-cycle read-through relevant but no idiosyncratic catalyst today. | SK Hynix earnings read-through, AI capex-return scrutiny | Liquid, tight options; needs standalone catalyst before core promotion | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-07-26 | AVGO | PROMOTE | Recurring driver of the custom-ASIC narrative that repeatedly pressures NVDA/AMD (hyperscaler in-house-chip theme); deserves daily grading as the merchant-GPU counterweight. | Custom-ASIC / hyperscaler accelerator demand narrative | Durable franchise, deeply liquid, tight-spread options | Add to symbols.equities | promoted |
| 2026-07-26 | ARM | IGNORE | No live catalyst distinct from existing SOX/SMH exposure this run; revisit on earnings. | None distinct currently | Liquid but duplicative of semi exposure | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | ignored |
| 2026-07-26 | MU | MONITOR | Memory-led semi moves (Samsung/Micron) keep surfacing in sector routs; live to DRAM/HBM pricing and AI-memory demand. | DRAM/HBM pricing + AI-memory demand cycle | Liquid, clean equity/options, clear thesis | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-07-26 | ASML | MONITOR | 2nm/EUV bottleneck (TSMC 2nm +50% wafer cost per source-note) is a 2H2026 story; catalyst = capex/order commentary. | 2nm/EUV capex bottleneck, TSMC 2nm cost | High quality, liquid ADR, options usable | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-07-26 | LRCX | IGNORE | No distinct catalyst vs semi-cap peers this run. | None distinct currently | Liquid, duplicative | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | ignored |
| 2026-07-26 | AMAT | IGNORE | No distinct catalyst vs semi-cap peers this run. | None distinct currently | Liquid, duplicative | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | ignored |
| 2026-07-16 | AVGO | MONITOR | AI networking/custom-silicon leader repeatedly drives QQQ semis narrative; less TSMC-margin-exposed than pure GPU designers. | AI-infra sector rotation / semis narrative | High-quality, mega-cap, very liquid options. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-07-16 | ASML | MONITOR | TSMC raising capex + wafer prices +5-10% is a direct demand tailwind for lithography/semicap equipment - equipment names can decouple UP from chip designers (NVDA/AMD) eating wafer cost. | TSMC Q2 capex guidance hike (Jul 16 earnings) | Monopoly EUV supplier, durable quality, liquid options. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates; promote if it decouples up from chip designers on capex-cycle strength | radar |
| 2026-07-16 | NFLX | MONITOR | Major mover: -8% AH on Q2 guidance disappointment (EPS 80c vs 79c, rev 12.56B vs 12.59B) after $257B YTD wipeout; real news, live Jul 17 gap catalyst. | Q2 2026 earnings after close Jul 16 (guidance miss) | Liquid mega-cap, but media single-name off the AI-infra/semis core theme. | Do not promote to core (off-theme); radar only for the after-hours gap | radar |
| 2026-07-07 | MU | MONITOR | Epicenter of today's memory-led rout, -5% premarket on Samsung -7% read-through; leading indicator for AI value-chain shift to memory chips. | Samsung/Kospi memory selloff; KuCoin thesis of AI value shifting to memory | Highly liquid, tight-spread options; durable memory-cycle exposure | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-07-07 | SMH | MONITOR | Clean semis-sector proxy to grade the AI-rotation theme without single-name idiosyncrasy. | Global chip rout, SOX/SMH sector context | Liquid ETF, tight spreads | Consider adding as macro/sector instrument, not core equity | radar |
| 2026-07-07 | AVGO | MONITOR | Custom-ASIC winner (Alphabet/Meta) eating NVDA's share narrative; relative-strength divergence vs NVDA worth grading. | ASIC share gains vs NVDA; named in premkt chip decliners but structural winner | Mega-cap, deep options liquidity, durable franchise | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-07-07 | MU | MONITOR | Epicenter of today's memory-chip selloff (-5% premkt), leading NDX-100 actives; direct read-through to AI-capex/memory narrative. | Samsung -7% / Kospi -5% memory rout; already in discovery.current_candidates | Highly liquid, tight-spread options; durable memory-cycle exposure. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates; promote if it becomes repeatable daily semis-narrative driver | radar |
| 2026-07-07 | AVGO | MONITOR | Named in premkt chip decline; large AI-infra weight in QQQ narrative. | AI-chip rotation selloff | Mega-cap, liquid options; high quality. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-07-03 | AVGO | MONITOR | Repeat semiconductor narrative driver, prior earnings mover. | Custom silicon / AI infrastructure demand | Highly liquid, tight options, durable quality. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-07-03 | ARM | IGNORE | No fresh catalyst; market closed Jul 3. | None today | Liquid but rich valuation; no catalyst. | Keep in discovery, do not promote | ignored |
| 2026-07-03 | MU | MONITOR | Memory-chip rotation is the other side of the B200 lease-rate crack; AI value chain shifting to memory. | AI-compute mix shift from GPU-lease deflation to memory demand | Liquid large-cap, tight-spread options, durable HBM/DRAM franchise. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-07-03 | AVGO | MONITOR | Custom-ASIC/networking leader benefits if hyperscaler capex rotates away from merchant GPU pricing power; repeatedly drives SPY/QQQ semi narrative. | AI ASIC demand; semi-sector leadership rotation | Mega-cap, very liquid options, durable quality | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-07-03 | MU | MONITOR | Memory-chip pivot is the other side of the B200 lease-rate collapse; KuCoin note flags AI value chain shifting to memory. Sold off Jul 2 with semis but structurally favored if compute-to-memory rotation is real. | AI value-chain shift to memory chips; NVDA lease-rate decay | Highly liquid, tight-spread options, durable memory-cycle exposure | Keep in discovery.current_candidates; promote on confirmed HBM guidance beat | radar |
| 2026-07-02 | BE | MONITOR | Bloom Energy +8% premarket on expanded Brookfield partnership to finance AI-infrastructure power projects; live AI-power narrative name. | Brookfield partnership expansion for AI datacenter power financing | Liquid, active options; volatile single-name, not yet durable-quality core. | Keep in discovery / add to current_candidates as AI-power theme tracker | radar |
| 2026-07-02 | AVGO | MONITOR | Existing discovery candidate; AI-accelerator/custom-silicon leader driving semis narrative. | AI capex cycle; no fresh single-name catalyst today | High quality, deep liquid options. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-07-02 | ARM | MONITOR | AI/compute IP proxy, drives semis sentiment | Licensing/royalty cycle, AI design wins | Liquid; rich valuation, elevated IV | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-07-02 | AVGO | MONITOR | AI-ASIC/custom-silicon leader repeatedly steers QQQ/SOX narrative; recent soft AI guidance still a live swing factor | Custom AI accelerator demand, guidance revisions | Very liquid, tight options; durable quality | Keep in discovery.current_candidates; promote if guidance re-accelerates | radar |
| 2026-07-02 | MU | MONITOR | HBM/AI-memory leverage, repeatable earnings catalyst stream in semis narrative | AI memory demand, prior binary earnings moves | Liquid, tight options; high beta cyclical | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-07-01 | AVGO | MONITOR | AI-infra leader repeatedly drives semis narrative | AI capex cycle; soft-guidance memory | High quality, liquid, tight options | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-07-01 | KR | IGNORE | Premarket -2.8% on Giant Eagle M&A one-off | $1.65B Giant Eagle acquisition | Liquid but off-thesis (non AI/semis) | Do not promote | ignored |
| 2026-07-01 | MU | MONITOR | HBM/memory catalyst stream, recent binary earnings mover | Memory/HBM demand | Liquid, active options | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-07-01 | SPCX | MONITOR | +2% on Wedbush Outperform $190 PT | New sell-side coverage, AI/aerospace narrative | Verify liquidity/options depth before promotion | Keep on radar, do not promote | radar |
| 2026-07-01 | MU | MONITOR | Memory outperformer in Q2 semis; recurring earnings/AI-memory catalyst stream. | AI memory demand / HBM cycle | Durable, liquid options; already in discovery.current_candidates. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-07-01 | SPCX | MONITOR | SpaceX up 2.03% premarket on Wedbush Outperform initiation ($190 PT); AI/aerospace narrative name. | Wedbush coverage initiation | Newly public/liquid enough; verify options depth before promotion. | Keep in radar, not discovery.current_candidates yet | radar |
| 2026-07-01 | AVGO | MONITOR | Prior soft AI guidance drove June semis flush; central to sector narrative. | AI/custom-silicon guidance | High quality, very liquid; discovery candidate. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-30 | SPCX | IGNORE | Premarket -1.74%, idiosyncratic noise, not durable signal | none material | Thin/noisy, not a daily-grade name | Do not promote | ignored |
| 2026-06-30 | AVGO | MONITOR | AI-infra semis leader; already in discovery candidates | SMH/semis strength leading tape | Durable quality, liquid options | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-30 | GOOG | MONITOR | ~5% rip on Dow debut, now index-weight driver of the rally narrative | Dow inclusion flows + AI narrative | Mega-cap, deeply liquid, tight options spreads | Keep in radar; PROMOTE to symbols.equities if it drives QQQ narrative 2+ more sessions | radar |
| 2026-06-30 | AVGO | MONITOR | Recent soft AI guidance drove late-June semis flush; now bouncing with sector — guidance reset still overhangs. | AI accelerator guidance reset, semis rebound | Mega-cap, deep liquid options, durable AI infra franchise. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-30 | RKLB | MONITOR | +15.9% on $8B Iridium acquisition announcement — large idiosyncratic move, space narrative. | Iridium acquisition deal | Liquid, but speculative/high-vol; not core-quality yet. | Do not promote; watch deal follow-through | radar |
| 2026-06-30 | GOOGL | MONITOR | Added to Dow replacing Verizon — index inclusion flow + Mag7 leadership. | Dow Jones index inclusion | Mega-cap, top-tier liquidity, durable quality. | Consider adding to symbols.equities (mega_cap_tech) if it keeps driving narrative | radar |
| 2026-06-29 | AVGO | MONITOR | Soft AI guidance was epicenter of last week's semis unwind; narrative driver for QQQ. | AI capex/guidance narrative, semis relief bounce | Mega-cap, durable quality, liquid options. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-29 | MU | MONITOR | Memory-sector catalyst driver; reported after-close Jun 24, repeatedly moves semis sentiment. | Post-earnings memory pricing read-through to SOX/SMH | Highly liquid, tight options; cyclical earnings volatility. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-29 | SPCX | MONITOR | +2.3% premarket on Nasdaq-100 inclusion effective Jul 7 | index inclusion flow | Liquid; inclusion is one-off flow event, not durable catalyst stream | Keep in discovery radar | radar |
| 2026-06-29 | AVGO | IGNORE | Semis in confirmed downtrend, no fresh catalyst today | none new | High quality + liquid but no edge today | Keep in discovery.current_candidates, no promotion | ignored |
| 2026-06-29 | CMCSA | MONITOR | +25% premarket on plan to split into two publicly traded companies; major structural catalyst | corporate split announcement | Large-cap, highly liquid options; but split is one-time event not repeatable daily signal | Keep in discovery radar; do not promote to core | radar |
| 2026-06-24 | QCOM | IGNORE | In focus today only on chip-rebound sympathy; handset-tied with weaker AI-infra thesis and duplicative of existing semis exposure. | Semis rebound / Micron read-through sympathy. | Large-cap liquid, but more cyclical/consumer-handset exposed; not promotion-grade vs current names. | Do not add; monitor only, not promotion-grade. | ignored |
| 2026-06-24 | AVGO | MONITOR | AI infrastructure/networking leader and repeatable sector-narrative driver for QQQ/SOX. | AI infra capex cycle; no single event today. | Mega-cap, very liquid options, durable franchise. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates. | radar |
| 2026-06-24 | MU | MONITOR | AI-memory/HBM bellwether and the days marquee catalyst (Q3 earnings tonight); confirms or kills the HBM supercycle thesis for the whole semi complex. | Q3 earnings after close Jun 24; HBM sold out through 2026, HBM4 ramping 2x, GM near 81pct, cons EPS ~19.72 on ~34.5B. | Large-cap, deep liquidity, liquid options, durable HBM franchise but cyclical memory exposure. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates; promote to symbols.equities after tonight print if HBM durability confirmed (do not promote into a binary). | radar |
| 2026-06-24 | MU | PROMOTE | The semis/AI-memory bellwether currently driving the SOX/QQQ narrative; reports Q3 after close today with ~17% implied move and HBM acceleration as the key metric. | Q3 FY26 earnings after close Jun 24 (HBM ramp, ~81% GM, Q4 guide); AI-memory cycle leader | Deep liquid options and tight equity spreads; durable HBM franchise though memory is cyclical. Repeatable catalyst stream and recurring SPY/QQQ narrative driver. | Add to symbols.equities | promoted |
| 2026-06-24 | AVGO | MONITOR | Its soft AI guidance is the macro driver of the current semis selloff; mega-cap AI-infrastructure bellwether that repeatedly sets SPY/QQQ direction. | Soft AI guidance triggering multi-day semis derating; hyperscaler-capex read-through | Very liquid options, high-quality franchise; catalyst already passed so daily-grading edge is lower until follow-through confirms. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates; promote if it keeps setting SPY/QQQ direction post-MU | radar |
| 2026-06-24 | ARM | MONITOR | High-beta semis name caught in the Korea/AI-capex unwind; useful tell for risk appetite in the crowded chip trade. | Sector-wide semis derating; no idiosyncratic catalyst today | Liquid but cyclical and expensively valued; no live single-name catalyst to grade daily yet. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates; watch for follow-through | radar |
| 2026-06-18 | ASML | MONITOR | Semis-cap-equip lift on sector bid; no single-name catalyst today | Sector beta from INTC-Apple semis rally | High-quality EUV monopoly; liquid but wider spreads than mega-caps | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-18 | MU | PROMOTE | +4.8% premarket; Cook AI memory/storage cost warning = direct memory pricing-power signal; repeatedly drives semis narrative | Apple 'unavoidable price hike' memory-cost comments + AI-memory cycle | High business quality in AI-memory cycle; deep liquid options, tight spreads | Add to symbols.equities | promoted |
| 2026-06-18 | AVGO | MONITOR | +3%; AI-infra/custom-silicon + networking leader, distinct from NVDA GPU exposure | Broad semis bid on INTC-Apple reshoring; no dedicated single-name catalyst today | Mega-cap, high quality, very liquid options | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-18 | INTC | MONITOR | +7-9.8% on Trump/Apple domestic-chip partnership; large catalyst but quality unproven | Trump-confirmed Apple domestic chip manufacturing partnership | Turnaround-quality questionable, political/headline-driven; liquid | Add to discovery radar; do not promote (quality bar) | radar |
| 2026-06-18 | MU | MONITOR | Named in premarket focus list on memory up-cycle; already a discovery candidate. | Memory/HBM pricing and AI demand read-through. | Liquid cyclical memory name; watch for durable HBM catalyst before promotion. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-18 | MRVL | MONITOR | +6.1% premarket; AI custom-silicon/networking leader riding the semis catalyst. | Semis sector rip plus AI-infra/custom-ASIC demand. | Liquid, durable AI-infra franchise; no fresh single-name catalyst beyond sector beta yet. | Add to discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-18 | INTC | PROMOTE | Catalyst-of-the-day Apple US-chip deal (+9% premarket), govt 10% stake ~$60B; repeatedly driving the semis/reshoring narrative and the SPY/QQQ tape. | Trump-confirmed Apple-Intel deal to design/build chips in US; CHIPS-Act-stake reshoring story. | Mega-cap, very liquid, deep options; turnaround/foundry-yield quality still unproven and headline-driven. | Add to symbols.equities | promoted |
| 2026-06-15 | MU | MONITOR | Memory-cycle bellwether referenced in recent semi narratives; relevant to AI-capex and chip breadth. | AI-memory demand vs prior memory-crisis overhang; rides semis risk-on | Liquid, optionable; cyclical/volatile earnings make standalone thesis harder | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-15 | INTC | MONITOR | Center of the Apple-Intel chip-deal report driving today's semi surge; potential single-name catalyst if confirmed. | Apple-Intel deal report (unconfirmed — verify before promotion) | Liquid large-cap with active options, but turnaround quality unproven and catalyst may be one-off/headline | Keep in discovery watch this week; promote only if deal confirmed and estimates revise up | radar |
| 2026-06-15 | AVGO | PROMOTE | Repeatedly drives AI/semis index narrative; flagged top AI stock for June; high-quality custom-silicon + networking franchise deserving daily grading. | Rekindled AI trade + sector-wide chip surge on Apple-Intel deal report | Mega-cap, deeply liquid, tight-spread options — clean for both equity and options tracking | Add AVGO to symbols.equities and to sectors.semiconductors.representative_symbols | promoted |
| 2026-06-12 | SPCX | MONITOR | SpaceX IPO debut TODAY, ~$1.77T, largest IPO ever — key risk-appetite + liquidity-drain read for the whole tape. | IPO debut June 12 2026 | No trading history, no listed options yet, day-1 volatility extreme | Do not promote until it trades several sessions and options list; watch as sentiment gauge | radar |
| 2026-06-12 | MU | PROMOTE | Drives the semis tape both ways — its memory read-through led the Jun 10 selloff and now leads the Jun 12 rally (+3% premarket); acts as a semis bellwether. | Memory upcycle / AI-memory demand | Large-cap, highly liquid, tight-spread options | Add to symbols.equities | promoted |
| 2026-06-12 | AVGO | MONITOR | Drove the Jun 10 down-narrative; durable custom-silicon catalyst stream. Earnings digested, watch follow-through. | Custom AI silicon / earnings aftermath | Mega-cap, deeply liquid options | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-11 | MU | MONITOR | Memory leverage to AI capex cycle; moves with the same ORCL/AVGO capex tape. No fresh standalone catalyst today. | AI memory/HBM demand; sector capex sentiment | Liquid, tight options; cyclical quality. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-11 | AVGO | MONITOR | Prior ASIC-specific miss seeded semi contagion; remains the ASIC/custom-silicon counterweight to NVDA GPU narrative and an AI-capex tell. Already a discovery candidate. | AI-capex/ASIC demand debate; ORCL capex read-through | Mega-cap semi, very liquid, tight options; durable franchise. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-11 | ORCL | MONITOR | -9.4% premarket after Q4 beat but signaled massive AI-capex increase; live bellwether for whether AI-infra spend is read as growth or margin drag — read-through to MSFT/AMZN/GOOGL/NVDA demand. | Q4 earnings + AI capex guidance (Jun 10 after close) | Mega-cap, highly liquid, tight options; durable cloud/AI franchise. High signal for AI-capex narrative. | Keep in radar; consider discovery.current_candidates if capex-narrative trade persists more than 1-2 sessions | radar |
| 2026-06-10 | AMAT | IGNORE | Semi-cap equipment, no standalone catalyst today. | None specific this run | Liquid; quiet today. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | ignored |
| 2026-06-10 | ARM | MONITOR | High-beta semi (-4% premarket), recurring SOX-leading headline mover. | AI-semis volatility; leads/lags SOX moves | Liquid, high-beta; options viable but wider spreads than mega-caps. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-10 | ASML | IGNORE | Semi-cap equipment, no standalone catalyst today; background only. | None specific this run | Liquid ADR; high quality but quiet today. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | ignored |
| 2026-06-10 | AVGO | PROMOTE | Epicenter of the 3-session selloff; soft AI guidance is THE catalyst driving SPY/QQQ AI-capex narrative daily. | Post-earnings soft AI guidance; ongoing semi de-rate | Mega-cap, deeply liquid, tight-spread options; durable AI-infra franchise. | Add AVGO to symbols.equities and as representative under sectors.semiconductors | promoted |
| 2026-06-10 | MU | MONITOR | Memory-crisis bellwether (-4% premarket), repeatedly cited; clean thesis but largely proxied by AMD/semis read-through. | Memory-chip crisis / DRAM-NAND demand worry | Large-cap, liquid, good options; cyclical memory exposure. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-10 | LRCX | IGNORE | Semi-cap equipment, no standalone catalyst today. | None specific this run | Liquid; quiet today. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | ignored |
| 2026-06-09 | AVGO | PROMOTE | Epicenter of the June 5 chip crash and the single biggest driver of the SOX/QQQ narrative right now; soft Q3 AI guide ($16B vs $17.2B est) + no FY26 AI raise moved the entire complex. | Post-earnings AI-guidance reset; ongoing AI-capex-demand debate | Mega-cap, deepest/tightest semi options after NVDA; durable ASIC/networking franchise — clears liquidity+quality bar easily. | Add to symbols.equities and sectors.semiconductors.representative_symbols | promoted |
| 2026-06-09 | ASML | MONITOR | WFE/capex-cycle bellwether; reads through to whether AVGO's AI-demand reset signals broader semi-capex slowing. | Semi-capex cycle; AI-capex-reset readthrough | Liquid ADR, monopoly EUV franchise; high quality but ADR options thinner than US mega-caps. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates; no fresh standalone catalyst today | radar |
| 2026-06-09 | MU | MONITOR | 'Deepening memory chip crisis' is a distinct catalyst stream from GPU/ASIC; MU +9.87% Mon was a top bounce mover, high beta to the memory/HBM narrative. | Memory pricing/HBM cycle; chip-selloff rebound | Liquid large-cap with active options; quality cyclical but earnings-volatile. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates; promote if memory narrative gets its own daily catalyst stream | radar |
| 2026-06-08 | FLEX | IGNORE | +4.3% premarket on S&P 500 inclusion only; EMS/contract-manufacturer, not a market-narrative driver. | S&P 500 index addition. | Liquid enough but low signal quality; no durable catalyst stream for daily grading. | Do not promote | ignored |
| 2026-06-08 | MRVL | MONITOR | +9% premarket to ~$287 on S&P 500 inclusion; differentiated AI custom-silicon/optical name but the pop is index-mechanical and mid-rout. | S&P 500 index addition (forced rebalance buying). | Liquid large-cap, tight options; genuine AI-infrastructure exposure but partly duplicative of NVDA/AMD. Wait for durable post-rebalance relative strength. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates; promote only if it shows durable RS after rebalance settles | radar |
| 2026-06-08 | AVGO | PROMOTE | Broadcom's cautious AI-chip outlook triggered Friday's $1.4T semis rout; it now repeatedly drives the SPY/QQQ AI-semis narrative and deserves daily grading. | Cautious AI/networking guidance + AI-semis narrative leadership; custom-ASIC/optical cycle. | Mega-cap, deeply liquid, very tight options; durable franchise (networking + VMware software). High signal quality. | Add to symbols.equities (and as representative_symbol under sectors.semiconductors) | promoted |
| 2026-06-08 | MU | MONITOR | Epicenter of the 'memory chip crisis' (-9%+ Friday); memory is now a distinct narrative from GPU compute and worth tracking for capitulation/turn. | Memory-chip oversupply/crisis + smartphone-demand-collapse story. | Liquid, tight options; cyclical commodity-memory quality (lower durability than AVGO). Differentiated signal vs NVDA/AMD. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates; promote if memory cycle becomes a recurring daily driver | radar |
| 2026-06-05 | MU | MONITOR | Led premarket semi declines -3.3% as AVGO contagion hit memory/HBM names. | AVGO-driven AI-demand-reset contagion (no own-name news today). | Liquid large-cap with HBM/AI-memory leverage; catalyst-driven volatility but moving on contagion, not fundamentals. | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-05 | AVGO | PROMOTE | Drove the entire SPY/QQQ semi narrative this week: -15% Jun 4 on an AI-chip guide miss, triggering a 2-day sector-wide selloff and value rotation. | FQ2 rev $22.19B (miss $22.27B); Q3 AI-chip guide $16B vs $17.2B est; FY AI forecast left unchanged. | Mega-cap, deeply liquid options/equity; durable AI-ASIC + VMware software franchise; bellwether for AI-accelerator demand. | Add to symbols.equities alongside NVDA/AMD/TSM for daily grading | promoted |
| 2026-06-05 | UNH | IGNORE | Led Dow to a record close (+5% Jun 4) as a defensive/value rotation winner, but sits outside the core AI/semis/tech/crypto mandate. | Rotation out of AI-capex into healthcare/value/defensives. | Mega-cap liquid, but not thesis-aligned with the watchlist discovery focus (AI infra/semis/cloud). | Do not promote; log as rotation-leadership signal only | ignored |
| 2026-06-04 | MU | MONITOR | AI-memory (HBM) read-through to AVGO/AI-capex tape; flagged '$1T club' Jun 2. | AI memory demand / HBM cycle | Liquid large-cap semi, tradable options; durable but more cyclical than logic leaders | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-04 | AVGO | PROMOTE | Single name driving the SPY/QQQ AI narrative; just moved ~$300B market cap on Q2 FY26 earnings (-12-15% premarket on no-raise + soft Q3 + software miss despite AI rev +143% to $10.8B). | Q2 FY26 earnings Jun 3; repeatable quarterly AI-semi catalyst stream | ~$1.2T+ cap, deeply liquid tight-spread options, durable quality, clean thesis/invalidation writable; meets all promotion_criteria | Add AVGO to symbols.equities and sectors.semiconductors.representative_symbols for daily grading | promoted |
| 2026-06-04 | AMAT | IGNORE | WFE equipment name, no fresh standalone catalyst today; redundant with existing semis exposure on an AI-down day. | None today | Liquid quality name but no live catalyst | Keep in discovery.current_candidates, do not promote | ignored |
| 2026-06-04 | LRCX | IGNORE | WFE equipment name, no fresh standalone catalyst today; redundant with semis exposure. | None today | Liquid but no live catalyst | Keep in discovery.current_candidates, do not promote | ignored |
| 2026-06-04 | ARM | MONITOR | AI-IP/licensing read-through; reacts to AVGO/NVDA sentiment swings. | AI compute IP licensing narrative | Liquid, high-multiple; volatile, no fresh standalone catalyst today | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-03 | AVGO | PROMOTE | Durable custom-ASIC + networking AI-infra leader now driving QQQ/semi narrative daily; +7.6% premarket. | Q2 FY2026 earnings tonight 5:00pm ET | Mega-cap, deeply liquid tight-spread options; repeatable hyperscaler catalyst stream; clears all promotion criteria. | Add AVGO to symbols.equities in watchlist.yaml | promoted |
| 2026-06-03 | GNRC | IGNORE | +9% on a single data-center backup-power supply deal; one-off, not durable AI-compute thesis. | Hyperscaler backup-generator supply agreement | Moderately liquid; thesis non-repeatable, duplicative noise. | Do not promote | ignored |
| 2026-06-03 | HPE | MONITOR | +26% on blowout AI-infra earnings/outlook; event-driven, quality less durable than AVGO/MRVL. | Fiscal Q2 earnings beat + AI infrastructure demand outlook | Liquid but lower-margin server/infra; not a durable compute-leader thesis yet. | Keep on radar only, no candidate-list change | radar |
| 2026-06-03 | MRVL | MONITOR | +89% YTD, Jensen 'next trillion-$' endorsement, 40-50% AI revenue mix by year-end; not yet a candidate. | Computex Jensen endorsement + AI accelerator/optics demand | Liquid large-cap, clean options; durability still proving past the Computex pop. | Add MRVL to discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-02 | AMAT | MONITOR | Semi-cap equipment leader, benefits from memory capex from Micron supercycle; no standalone catalyst today. | Memory/foundry capex cycle; no near-term event | Quality, liquid, tight options | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-02 | ARM | MONITOR | AI/edge IP licensing exposure; no fresh catalyst today, more volatile/expensive. | AI device/datacenter IP royalties; no near-term event | Liquid but high-multiple, wider option spreads | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-02 | MU | PROMOTE | Crossed $1T market cap for first time Jun 1 (+6%); UBS street-high PT $1,625 (from $535); +750% in 12 months. The single biggest narrative driver in the semi/AI-memory complex. | AI-driven memory shortage supercycle; repeatedly leading SPY/QQQ semi narrative | Mega-cap, $1T, extremely liquid with tight-spread options; durable repeatable catalyst stream | Add to symbols.equities (and sectors.semiconductors.representative_symbols) — deserves daily grading as a core semi leader | promoted |
| 2026-06-02 | AVGO | PROMOTE | $1T+ AI-semi (custom ASIC/networking) leader; earnings due Jun 3 = imminent live catalyst with index-level impact. | Q earnings Jun 3 after close; COMPUTEX AI demand backdrop | Mega-cap, deep liquidity, tight options; durable custom-silicon franchise distinct from NVDA/AMD | Add to symbols.equities — earnings Jun 3 deserves daily grading; reassess weight after print | promoted |
| 2026-06-02 | ASML | MONITOR | Semi-cap lithography monopoly; rides AI capex cycle but no fresh standalone catalyst today. | AI capex / leading-edge node buildout; no near-term event | High quality, liquid ADR; options decent | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-02 | LRCX | MONITOR | Etch/deposition leader leveraged to memory capex (Micron tailwind); no standalone catalyst today. | Memory capex cycle; no near-term event | Quality, liquid, tight options | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-01 | ASML | MONITOR | Critical lithography supplier and upstream semi-cycle signal; less ideal for daily options but strong strategic read-through. | Semiconductor capex / EUV orders | High-quality monopoly-like supplier; US-listed ADR liquidity acceptable | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-01 | AVGO | MONITOR | AI networking/custom silicon leader that may improve signal quality versus NVDA/AMD-only semi coverage. | AI infrastructure / custom ASIC demand | Large-cap, liquid options; needs live catalyst before core promotion | Keep in discovery.current_candidates | radar |
| 2026-06-01 | TSM | PROMOTE | Core AI foundry exposure was missing from daily predictions despite being part of portfolio/correlation context. | AI capex / semiconductors supply-chain leadership | Mega-cap, liquid equity/options, clean thesis/invalidation available | Added to symbols.equities for daily grading | promoted |
JSONL schema for War Room scripts
{"timestamp":"2026-06-01T07:00:00-05:00","ticker":"TSM","recommendation":"PROMOTE","reason":"Core AI foundry exposure now needed as daily semi signal","catalyst":"AI capex / semis supply chain","quality_liquidity":"Mega-cap, liquid equity/options, clean read-through","watchlist_action":"Add to symbols.equities","status":"promoted","source":"morning"}